• Can policy and financial risk predict stock markets? 

      Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem; Krakstad, Svein Olav; Molnar, Peter; Norlin, Karl-Martin (Peer reviewed; Journal article, 2020)
      Since higher risk should be rewarded with higher expected returns, more risky time periods are expected to predict rising stock markets. This paper focuses on implied volatility as a measure of financial risk and economic ...
    • Can uncertainty predict stock markets? A cross country analysis. 

      Norlin, Karl-Martin; Helseth, Marius Aleksander Emblem (Masteroppgave/UIS-HH/2019;, Master thesis, 2019-07-15)
      Economic intuition suggests that uncertainty could predict stock markets. We consider two uncertainty measures: implied volatility and economic policy uncertainty (EPU). It is wellknown implied volatility is negatively ...